The war between Afghanistan and Pakistan at the Durand Line has erupted is attracting the attention of the whole world. However, they have started, it seems that the US has begun implementing its grand plan to seize Bagram Airbase in Afghanistan, which the US vacated on 1 July 2021 after its occupation for 20 years.
The manner in which Pakistan has provoked Afghanistan and initiated unilateral aggression against Afghanistan clearly suggests that Pakistan received orders from US President Donald Trump to do so. Presently, President Trump has been showing his keen interest in Bagram Airbase. Pakistan is trying to please the American President by sacrificing its soldiers.
This conflict will likely drag on for longer than expected, and then, in the name of peace, the US will jump in and seize Bagram Airbase! If it happens in the future, Pakistan will not only fully cooperate with the US in this endeavour but will also put in all its efforts. Afghanistan has been cosying up to India, and it is upsetting for Pakistani establishments. They are not just uncomfortable but want to reverse it as soon as possible. However, at present, post Operation Sindoor, Pakistan is in no position to directly stop India in Afghanistan, so the best option left for it is intervention by the US which wants to get back to Afghanistan through Bagram Airbase.
At a time when the entire world is chasing rare materials, once the US enters Afghanistan, Afghanistan will be unable to sell rare and other vital materials to India and the deal which they have entered into during the recent visit of the Afghan minister, FM Muttaqi, to India. The US wants to return to Afghanistan at any cost, and that is solely for rare and other vital materials. America knew that sooner or later, China would return the treatment to the US that the US has been meting out to under the Trump administration, and China has chosen the route of rare materials. And China is now doing the same. Therefore, America is hedging against China's risk through Afghanistan. During this process, pressure on India will increase, and increased pressure on India is a bonus for America, which is not yielding to the arm-twisting tactics of the Trump administration. As they say, "getting the fruit for free and saving the seed."
While this situation is detrimental for India, it represents a situation of "killing the snake and preserving the stick" for Pakistan and America. Though this wouldn’t be that easy, as the history of Afghanistan is detrimental to any US war extravaganza. Not only this, but Russia, China and India will also do the needful to stop the US from returning to Afghanistan.
How this story unfolds is best known to the future, but Afghanistan will become a new battlefield. Either it will turn into another war-zone or just a central stage of espionage.
For many, this Afghan-Pakistan conflict would look like a political or international matter, but it is about business and economy.
The manner in which Pakistan has provoked Afghanistan and initiated unilateral aggression against Afghanistan clearly suggests that Pakistan received orders from US President Donald Trump to do so. Presently, President Trump has been showing his keen interest in Bagram Airbase. Pakistan is trying to please the American President by sacrificing its soldiers.
This conflict will likely drag on for longer than expected, and then, in the name of peace, the US will jump in and seize Bagram Airbase! If it happens in the future, Pakistan will not only fully cooperate with the US in this endeavour but will also put in all its efforts. Afghanistan has been cosying up to India, and it is upsetting for Pakistani establishments. They are not just uncomfortable but want to reverse it as soon as possible. However, at present, post Operation Sindoor, Pakistan is in no position to directly stop India in Afghanistan, so the best option left for it is intervention by the US which wants to get back to Afghanistan through Bagram Airbase.
At a time when the entire world is chasing rare materials, once the US enters Afghanistan, Afghanistan will be unable to sell rare and other vital materials to India and the deal which they have entered into during the recent visit of the Afghan minister, FM Muttaqi, to India. The US wants to return to Afghanistan at any cost, and that is solely for rare and other vital materials. America knew that sooner or later, China would return the treatment to the US that the US has been meting out to under the Trump administration, and China has chosen the route of rare materials. And China is now doing the same. Therefore, America is hedging against China's risk through Afghanistan. During this process, pressure on India will increase, and increased pressure on India is a bonus for America, which is not yielding to the arm-twisting tactics of the Trump administration. As they say, "getting the fruit for free and saving the seed."
While this situation is detrimental for India, it represents a situation of "killing the snake and preserving the stick" for Pakistan and America. Though this wouldn’t be that easy, as the history of Afghanistan is detrimental to any US war extravaganza. Not only this, but Russia, China and India will also do the needful to stop the US from returning to Afghanistan.
How this story unfolds is best known to the future, but Afghanistan will become a new battlefield. Either it will turn into another war-zone or just a central stage of espionage.
For many, this Afghan-Pakistan conflict would look like a political or international matter, but it is about business and economy.
Rajeev K Upadhyay
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