COVID19 India: Observation from 26th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 26th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 75,995 to the total of 33,07,749 on 26th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.22% and a doubling period of 31.5 days. The moving averages indicate an upward trend. It seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.77% with a doubling period of 90.2 days with the active case count of 7,23,677 on 26th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.57% against the daily positivity rate of 8.22% on 26th August 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 9,24,998 with a cumulative total of 3,85,76,510.

4. In weeks for the first time, the overall recovery rate decreased slightly by five basis points to 76.29% against the world average of 69.34% on 26th August 2020. The daily recovery rate was 73.94%. The daily recovery rate fell below the overall recovery rate for the first time in the last 25 days.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.83% as on 26th August 2020 against the world’s average of 3.41%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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