A few observations from 22nd June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by more than 10% to 13,548 on 22nd June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 13,911 and 12,466 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. Daily count has reached its peak in India at 15,000. Daily count will hover around 15,000 with 10% of upward/downward correction for around one month before it conclusively starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 21st June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by around 4.8% to 15,158 on 21st June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 13,410 and 12,102 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. Daily count has reached its peak in India at 15,000 with 10% of upward/downward correction. It is quite possible that daily count will hover around 15,000 for around one month before it starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 20th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 7.8% to 15,898 on 20th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 12,871 and 11,795 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain.
A few observations from 19th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 6.6% to 14,740 on 19th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 12,319 and 11,409 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 18th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 5% to 13,826 on 18th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 11,829 and 11,026 respectively. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 17th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 18% to 13,107 on 17th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days averages of 11,408, 11,444 and 10,742 respectively. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 16th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 10% to 11,090 on 16th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days averages of 10,842, 11,166 and 10,498 respectively. Daily count increased on 15th June after two days of fall. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 15th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by more than 10% to 10,014 on 15th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days averages of 11,153, 11,018 and 10,334 respectively. Daily count has fallen two days in a row from the peak of 12,039. These falls must convert into a trend. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 14th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased to 11,373 on 13th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days average increasing to 11,573, 10,789 and 10,168 respectively. These must fall to reverse the trend but is a distant dream till the 3rd week of July 2020. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
कोरोना वायरस संक्रमण के मामले में कुछ लोग भारत और न्यूजीलैंड की तुलना कर रहे हैं। जबकि ये तुलना ही बेमानी है। आबादी, जनसंख्या व जनसंख्या घनत्व आदि मानकों पर इन दोनों देशों में कोई तुलना नहीं है। भारत में प्रति हजार व्यक्ति पर 0.7 बेड और 0.85 फिजिसियन हैं। वहीं न्यूजीलैण्ड में प्रति हजार व्यक्ति कुल तकरीबन 3 बेड और 3.6 फिजिसियन हैं। फिर भी उन्हें न्यूजीलैंड की भारत से तुलना करने से पहले भारतीय राज्य हिमाचल प्रदेश और न्यूजीलैंड की तुलना कर लेनी चाहिए।
A few observations from 22nd June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
