India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 13th May 2020 Data

A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-

1. New cases are increasing everyday. However the daily growth rate has fallen down to 3.5%. The daily growth rate is going down but on an average everyday more than 3500 new cases are increasing. This clearly indicates the long drawn battle against coronavirus.

2. 7 days growth rates of confirmed cases are falling and have gone below the 5% mark.
3. Active cases increased at 4.6% with a doubling period of 15.5 days. Since the last five days 7-days growth rate is falling and the doubling period is increasing for good.
4. Doubling period of the confirmed cases has increased to 11.3 days with a growth rate of 6.3%. The Doubling period is increasing since the last three days.
5. Even after a significant increase in the number of tests per million, the gap between confirmed and active cases per million is widening everyday.
6. The confirmed and active cases per test are falling and the gap between the two is widening.
7. New recoveries to new cases and recovery to active cases are increasing at higher than the recovery to total cases.
8. Active vs recovered vs death as on 13th May 2020.
9. Death to total confirmed cases are falling everyday even after increase in daily and total cases for a long time.
10. India is doing better than most of the countries in the world on account of death per million.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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