COVID19 India: Observation from 19th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 19th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 69,196 to the total of 28,35,822 on 19th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.44% and a doubling period of 28.75 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.71% with a doubling period of 97.5 days with the active case count of 6,85,760 on 19th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.68% against the daily positivity rate of 7.53% on 19th August 2020. It’s important that the daily positivity rate falls. Total tests done were 9,18,470 with a cumulative total of 3,26,61,252. Numbers of tests are increasing but there is a need to increase it manifold.

4. The overall recovery rate increased to 73.91% on 19th August 2020 against the daily recovery rate of 85.8%. This is a good indication that daily recovery rate is higher than the overall recovery rate for more than 10 days.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.9% as on 19th August against the world’s average of 3.5%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

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