COVID19 India: Observation from 21st August 2020 Data

A few observations from 21sr August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 69,039 to the total of 29,73,368 on 21st August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.36% and a doubling period of 29.9 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.59% with a doubling period of 117.9 days with the active case count of 6,96,641 on 21st August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.62% against the daily positivity rate of 6.74% on 21st August 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 10,23,836 with a cumulative total of 3,44,91,073.

4. The overall recovery rate increased to 74.7% against the world average of 67.9% on 21st August 2020. The daily recovery rate was 91.05%. The daily recovery rate sustained above the overall recovery rate for the last 20 days.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.88% as on 21st August 2020 against the world’s average of 3.47%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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