A few observations from 22nd August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 70,069 to the total of 30,43,436 on 22nd August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.33% and a doubling period of 30 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.
2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.58% with a doubling period of 119 days with the active case count of 7,06,690 on 22nd August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.
3. The overall positivity rate was 8.62% against the daily positivity rate of 8.75% on 22nd August 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 8,01,147 with a cumulative total of 3,52,92,220.
4. The overall recovery rate increased to 74.9% against the world average of 68% on 22nd August 2020. The daily recovery rate was 84.35%. The daily recovery rate sustained above the overall recovery rate for the last 20 days.
5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.87% as on 22nd August 2020 against the world’s average of 3.46%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.
Rajeev Upadhyay
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