COVID19 India: Observation from 23rd August 2020 Data

A few observations from 23rd August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 61,749 to the total of 31,05,185 on 23rd August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.3% and a doubling period of 30.4 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.67% with a doubling period of 103.6 days with the active case count of 7,10,697 on 23rd August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.65% against the daily positivity rate of 10.12% on 23rd August 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 6,09,917 with a cumulative total of 3,59,02,137.

4. The overall recovery rate increased to 75.25% against the world average of 68.18% on 23rd August 2020. The daily recovery rate was 92.14%. The daily recovery rate sustained above the overall recovery rate for the last 23 days.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.86% as on 23rd August 2020 against the world’s average of 3.44%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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