COVID19 India: Observation from 2nd September 2020 Data

A few observations from 2nd September 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 82,860 to the total of 38,48,968 on 2nd September 2020 with 7-days growth rate increasing to 2.18% and the doubling period falling to 32 days. Today the daily count was the highest. The moving averages indicate a clear upward trend in the daily count. From the data, it seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases increased to 1.69% with a decreased doubling period of 41.2 days with the active case count of 8,14,086 on 2nd September 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing everyday. The pressure on healthcare infrastructure is increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.46% against the daily positivity rate of 7.07% on 2nd September 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 11,72,179 with a cumulative total of 4,55,09,380.

4. The overall recovery rate increased to 77.1% against the world average of 70.44% on 2nd September 2020. The daily recovery rate was 81.92%. The daily recovery rate is almost remaining higher than the overall recovery rate.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.75% as on 2nd September 2020 against the world’s average of 3.31%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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