A few observations from 1st September 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 78,168 to the total of 37,66,108 on 1st September 2020 with 7-days growth rate increasing to 2.21% and the doubling period falling to 31.7 days. The moving averages indicate a clear upward trend in the daily count. From the data, it seems that India is yet to hit the corona peak.
2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases increased to 1.82% with a decreased doubling period of 38.29 days with the active case count of 8,00,127 on 1st September 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing and more than one lac new active cases have increased in just eleven days. The growth rate of active cases has increased to almost four times from the previous lowest rate resulting in bringing down the doubling period. This pressure on healthcare infrastructure is increasing.
3. The overall positivity rate was 8.49% against the daily positivity rate of 7.72% on 1st September 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 10,12,367 with a cumulative total of 4,43,37,201.
4. The overall recovery rate increased to 76.99% against the world average of 70.23% on 1st September 2020. The daily recovery rate was 79.5%. The daily recovery rate is almost remaining higher than the overall recovery rate.
5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.76% as on 1st September 2020 against the world’s average of 3.32%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.
Rajeev Upadhyay
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