From the daily data as on 30th January 2022, it is clear that the third wave seems to be reversing now as every day the numbers of new daily cases are falling and soon the third wave will be over. The 7-days growth rate in daily confirm cases has fallen from 26.9% on 2nd Jan 2022 to -2.9% on 30th Jan 2022.
Apart from the fall in the growth rate in daily reported confirmed cases of COVID 19, the 7-days growth rate in the active cases has also fallen to -2.8% on 30th Jan from 21.9% on 9th January 2022. The new cases in most of the big metro cities are falling.
These trends in the data are indicating that in the next few weeks, the third wave will be over and perhaps it would be the last wave of nationwide infections of the coronavirus as post March 2022 as any further infection would be local in nature.
Dr. Rajeev K. Upadhyay
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