COVID19 India: Observation from 15th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 15th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 63,986 to the total of 25,89,22 on 15th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.65% and a doubling period of 26.2 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 1.09% with a doubling period of 63.8 days with the active case count of 6,78,461 on 15th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.83% against the daily positivity rate of 8.57% with tests 7,46,608 and a cumulative total of 2,93,09,703 on 15th August 2020. The daily positivity rate keep on falling. Numbers of tests need to increase it manifold.

4. The overall recovery rate increased to 71.86% on 15th August 2020 against the daily recovery rate of 83.01%. This is a good indication that daily recovery rate is higher than the overall recovery rate for more than 10 days.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.93% as on 15th August against the world’s average of 3.58%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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