COVID19 India: Observation from 16th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 16th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 58,082 to the total of 26,47,304 on 16th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.58% and a doubling period of 27.15 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.93% with a doubling period of 74.5 days with the active case count of 6,78,183 on 16th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

3. The overall positivity rate was 8.83% against the daily positivity rate of 7.94% on 16th August 2020. It’s important that the daily positivity rate falls. Total tests done were 7,31,697 with a cumulative total of 3,00,41,400. Numbers of tests are increasing but there is a need to increase it manifold.

4. The overall recovery rate increased to 72.45% on 16th August 2020 against the daily recovery rate of 98.84%. This is a good indication that daily recovery rate is higher than the overall recovery rate for more than 10 days.

5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.93% as on 16th August against the world’s average of 3.57%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.

Rajeev Upadhyay

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