A few observations from 15th September 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 91,096 to the total of 50,18,034 on 15th September 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.0% and the doubling period falling to 34.94 days. After a consecutive fall for the last three days, daily counts again started increasing. This has been happening since the beginning. It clearly indicates that this pandemic wouldn’t be over soon.
2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 1.51% with a doubling period of 46.22 days with the active case count of 9,96,832 on 15th September 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing everyday. The pressure on the healthcare infrastructure in India is increasing.
3. The overall positivity rate was 8.44% against the daily positivity rate of 8.16% on 15th September 2020. Daily positivity rate hovers around 8%. This needs to fall for a trend reversal. Total tests done were 11,16,842 with a cumulative total of 5,94,29,115.
4. The overall recovery rate increased to 78.50% against the world average of 72.45% on 15th September 2020. The daily recovery rate was 90.96%.
5. Case fatality rate has fallen to 1.64% as on 15th September 2020 against the world’s average of 3.16%. It has been consistently falling early April in India.
Rajeev Upadhyay
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