Reservation is considered to be a positive discrimination to undo the social injustice and inequalities metted out over centuries but people have varied views about the same and India is not an exception to it. Over time people from all spectra of life willingly or unwillingly have accepted and come to the term with the reservation on the basis of caste in the government jobs and education in India. But of late people belonging to the Unreserved (UR) category and creamy layer of OBC (Other Backward Caste) have been becoming very vocal against the caste based reservations as it makes difficult for them to get government jobs and admission in government education institutions (Kumar, Pratap, & Aggarwal, 2019). Considering these disadvantages, there was demand for reservation on the basis of income which now has been accommodated through a new legislation by the Indian Parliament for the Economically Weaker Sections (EWS) of society (MSJE, 2020).
Budget 2021-22
Post lockdown, the way Indian economy has shown resilience with continued ‘V’ shaped recovery is very optimistic. It indicates that the India economy even after the pandemic shock is on a very strong footing. This optimism in the environment has also been echoed by the stock market. However, it is very important that this optimism in the economy gets strong fiscal support with proper policy response as well as anchoring from the government in the present budget for the fiscal year 2021-22.
CSR may Play an Important Role in the Development of Agriculture Sector
Considering the agriculture profile of India and the small land holding pattern, sustainable growth in agriculture is a mammoth challenge both for the farmers and the governments. This not only requires policy responses to better connect the agriculture sector to markets but private as well as public investments both to create capacities. To achieve this, there is a need for coordinated agricultural development efforts and proper use of technologies to collect and disseminate information. In this process, the involvement of the corporate sector at different levels can be vital. As per Company Act 2013, corporates are required to spend a part of their earnings towards the Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). Many corporates are already spending a large portion of their CSR corpus in the agriculture sector. The strategic use of this CSR corpus can be very helpful in erecting and maintaining agriculture infrastructure and avoid overlap of different government schemes.
Increasing Cover of Lockdown to Affect Economy Adversely
The following graphs clearly indicate that there is another wave of coronavirus in India. The battle which India had almost won by flattening the corona curve is now again at our doors. Across states and cities citizens and the state governments as well as the administrations are not serious enough about it. Now across the country the most effective tool and weapon against the COVID19 outbreak is the social distancing but it seems to be a thing of past for the most. Most of the people are now completely relying COVID19 Vaccine but it is too early. Until and unless more than half of the population is vaccinated, complete dependence on vaccine would be risky proportion.
Indian Economy on the Path of Expansion
The blanket lockdown of the whole India by the Government of India in response to the COVID19 pandemic has given a never seen before shock to the Indian economy. However, different economic indicators started indicating the revival of economic activities post gradual relaxations granted in the lockdown since May 2020 by different states. However for more than two quarters, things remained very difficult for the economy. Considering the fall in the aggregated demand in the economy, the government was forced to suspend the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) so that individuals and businesses could get enough time and space to adjust in the post pandemic recession and the events of defaults could be avoided. This single decision has been very helpful for the whole banking sector. Although it has adversely impacted the revenues of the banking sector but has been very helpful in dealing with the non-performing assets (NPA).
Inflation Spikes in February
Inflation is rising. Both the retail inflation as well as the core inflation has spiked to 5.03% and 5.7 in the month of February 2020 in the economy in comparison to the month of January while Index for Industrial Production (IIP) has contracted 1.6% during the same period. This spike in the inflation can partly be attributed to the small base but it is largely due to cost push pressures in the economy. Most importantly the inflation is not expected to moderate significantly besides the base effect until and unless the government decides to cut the taxes on fuel.
IDBI out of PCA Framework
In its recent notification, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has taken IDBI bank out of the Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework. This is good news for the banking sector in general. It clearly means that the financial position of IDBI bank has improved enough to be taken out of the PCA framework. A bank is put under the PCA framework of RBI on the basis of three parameters namely capital to risk weighted assets ratio (CRAR), net non-performing assets (NPA) and Return on Assets (RoA). When these key ratios fall below the trigger points As per the RBI press release, for the quarter ending on 31st December 2020, the bank has been found to be not in breach of the PCA parameters on regulatory capital, net NPA and leverage ratio.
Reservation in Private Jobs
From the experiences of India with the reservation for more than seven decades, it is now well established but never acknowledged fact (to remain politically correct) that reservation has some positive impact but in a very limited way. Even after more than 70 years of its implementations, it has not been able to achieve the stated goals of making an equal society. Rather it has widened the slits in the society and perhaps caste has become more prominent than ever!
There have been demands for reservation in the private sector by the political class (caste based) on the basis of caste to appease its constituencies since long. Similarly there also have been demands for reservation to locals in employment mainly backed regional or state level parties like Shivsena. Shivsena even had mobilized a massive movement for the same decades back. However neither society nor the government ever found this demand to be genuine enough to ponder about.
There have been demands for reservation in the private sector by the political class (caste based) on the basis of caste to appease its constituencies since long. Similarly there also have been demands for reservation to locals in employment mainly backed regional or state level parties like Shivsena. Shivsena even had mobilized a massive movement for the same decades back. However neither society nor the government ever found this demand to be genuine enough to ponder about.
Coordinated Efforts Needed to Reduce Petroleum Prices
This increase in oil prices has a multifaceted negative impact on the economy. It will not only adversely affect the inflation in the economy but the governments’ revenues in the medium to long term also by hurting the individuals’ capacity to spend (as a large portion of their income will be spent towards the oil component of the expenditure basket).
The increasing prices of petroleum products will elevate the inflation in the economy from two sides. It should be noted that crude petroleum is a constituent of the consumer price index (CPI) basket so any increase in the oil prices is bound to directly push the inflation upwards. On the other hand, indirectly, the transportation cost is dependent on the prices of the petroleum products. It has been predicted in many reports that the oil prices in the international market are expected to rise in coming months. Considering the situation, it is certain that inflation in coming months will elevate.
भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था मंदी के चक्र से बाहर
ब्लूमबर्ग न्यूज द्वारा जनवरी महीने के लिए ट्रैक किए गए 8 संकेतकों में से 5 संकेतक स्थिर रहे हैं, 2 संकेतकों में वृद्धि और 1 संकेतक में गिरावट दर्ज किया है। सर्वेक्षण के अनुसार अर्थव्यवस्था में उपभोक्ता गतिविधियों और औद्योगिक गतिविधियों के सूचकांक में क्रमशः 11.4% और 1% की वृद्धि हुई है। चालू वित्त वर्ष की तीसरी तिमाही में सकल घरेलू उत्पाद (जीडीपी) में पिछले वर्ष की तुलना में 0.5% का विस्तार हुआ है। रिजर्व बैंक ऑफ इण्डिया RBI के आंकड़ों के अनुसार, दिसम्बर के महीने में अर्थव्यवस्था में ऋण की वृद्धि दर 6% से अधिक रही थी। इससे पहले लगातार छः महीने में यह वृद्धि दर 6% से कम रही है। द मार्किट इंडिया परचेजिंग मैनेजर्स कम्पोजिट इंडेक्स (पीएमआई) 52.8 पर पहुंच गया है। यह स्पष्ट रूप से इंगित करता है कि भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था मंदी के दौर से बाहर निकलकर विकास के चरण में प्रवेश कर चुकी है।
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