A few observations from 17th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-1. New cases increased by 5019 on 17th May 2020 crossing the 5000 mark. 7 days and 14 days average has increased to 4070 and 3778 new cases. New cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate.
2. Daily growth rate of the active cases and the 7 days growth rates were 4.3% and 3.5% respectively on 17th May 2020. Even this rate of growth in daily cases is very high considering the base.
3. The doubling period of active cases has increased to 20.3 days on 17th May 2020 with a growth rate of 3.5%.
4. Doubling period of the confirmed cases has increased to 12.9 days with a growth rate of 5.5% on 17th May 2020. The doubling period is continuously increasing since the last one week.
5. Even after a significant increase in the number of tests per million, the gap between confirmed and active cases per million is widening everyday at an increasing rate.
6. Confirmed as well as active cases per test has again started increasing because of a steep rise in daily new cases in the last few days from the average of 4%.
7. Recovery to active and confirmed cases continue to increase. Recovery to confirm cases (recovery rate) has increased to 38.5%.
8. Active vs recovered vs death as on 17th May 2020.
9. Death to total confirmed cases have started falling in the last few days due steep increase in daily cases and increased recovery rate.
10. India is doing better than most of the countries in the world on account of death per million.
Rajeev Upadhyay
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