A few observations from 29th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by 6.5% to 18,339 on 29th June with 7-days and 14-days averages of 18,153 and 16,033 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the containment zones. The very high increases in the daily counts in the last few days are temporary and will settle soon.
A few observations from 28th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by more than 2% to 19,610 on 28th June with 7-days and 14-days averages of 17,471 and 15,171 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the containment zones. The very high increases in the daily counts in the last few days are temporary and will settle soon.
A few observations from 27th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by 10.3% to hit the highest ever daily count of 20,132 on 27th June with 7-days and 14-days averages of 16,832 and 14,853 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the containment zones. The very high increases in the daily counts in the last few days are temporary and will settle soon.
A few observations from 26th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased to hit the highest ever daily count at 18,256 on 26th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 16,230 and 14,275 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the containment zones to stop the community spread and break the chain. Very high increases in the daily counts in the last few days are temporary. Any conclusive decline before the third week of July looks distant.
A few observations from 25th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 7.8% to hit the highest ever daily count at 18,185 on 25th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 15,726 and 13,777 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. These very high increases in the daily counts are temporary. It will be witnessed for a few days more because of a significant increase in testing. After that it will hover around 15,000 for some time with 10% of upward/downward correction before it conclusively starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 24th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 7.7% to 16,868 on 24th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 15,103 and 13,274 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. Daily count has reached its peak in India at 15,000. Daily count will hover around 15,000 with 10% of upward/downward correction for around one month before it conclusively starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 23rd June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 15.4% to 15,653 on 23rd June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 14,565 and 12,865 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. Daily count has reached its peak in India at 15,000. Daily count will hover around 15,000 with 10% of upward/downward correction for around one month before it conclusively starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 22nd June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count decreased by more than 10% to 13,548 on 22nd June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 13,911 and 12,466 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. Daily count has reached its peak in India at 15,000. Daily count will hover around 15,000 with 10% of upward/downward correction for around one month before it conclusively starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 21st June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by around 4.8% to 15,158 on 21st June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 13,410 and 12,102 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. Daily count has reached its peak in India at 15,000 with 10% of upward/downward correction. It is quite possible that daily count will hover around 15,000 for around one month before it starts falling in the third week of July.
A few observations from 20th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 7.8% to 15,898 on 20th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 12,871 and 11,795 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain.
A few observations from 19th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 6.6% to 14,740 on 19th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 12,319 and 11,409 respectively. A conclusive change in the reversal of the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 18th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 5% to 13,826 on 18th June 2020 with 7-days and 14-days averages of 11,829 and 11,026 respectively. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 17th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 18% to 13,107 on 17th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days averages of 11,408, 11,444 and 10,742 respectively. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 16th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by more than 10% to 11,090 on 16th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days averages of 10,842, 11,166 and 10,498 respectively. Daily count increased on 15th June after two days of fall. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 15th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count decreased by more than 10% to 10,014 on 15th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days averages of 11,153, 11,018 and 10,334 respectively. Daily count has fallen two days in a row from the peak of 12,039. These falls must convert into a trend. A conclusive change in the trend before the 3rd week of July 2020 looks distant. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
A few observations from 14th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased to 11,373 on 13th June 2020 with 3-days, 7-days and 14-days average increasing to 11,573, 10,789 and 10,168 respectively. These must fall to reverse the trend but is a distant dream till the 3rd week of July 2020. The coronavirus has reached the unaffected rural districts but the numbers of positive are active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission is an unfortunate reality now. States can control the spread with strict lockdown in the hotspots irrespective of the economic costs to stop the community transmission and break the chain. The daily case counts are expected to hit the peak of 15,000 soon to stagnate for some time and then to fall.
कोरोना वायरस संक्रमण के मामले में कुछ लोग भारत और न्यूजीलैंड की तुलना कर रहे हैं। जबकि ये तुलना ही बेमानी है। आबादी, जनसंख्या व जनसंख्या घनत्व आदि मानकों पर इन दोनों देशों में कोई तुलना नहीं है। भारत में प्रति हजार व्यक्ति पर 0.7 बेड और 0.85 फिजिसियन हैं। वहीं न्यूजीलैण्ड में प्रति हजार व्यक्ति कुल तकरीबन 3 बेड और 3.6 फिजिसियन हैं। फिर भी उन्हें न्यूजीलैंड की भारत से तुलना करने से पहले भारतीय राज्य हिमाचल प्रदेश और न्यूजीलैंड की तुलना कर लेनी चाहिए।
Situation in Delhi is getting worse with every passing day. The daily positivity rate as on 13th June 2020 has increased to as high as 36.9% in Delhi. The two week average has increased to 26.1%. The overall positivity rate has increased to 13.76% against the national average of 5.7%. Doubling period has fallen to less than 12 days against 17 days of national average. Testing in Delhi is falling. It was testing around 8,000 people every day in the month of May but since 1st June it is testing around 5,000. Even the Dy. CM has accepted that half of the coronavirus patients are undetected because of low tests and lack of proper tracing. That means at present more than of half of the actual numbers of the total cases are either undetected or unreported.
A few observations from 13th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased to the new highest to 12,032 on 13th June 2020. The 3-days average has increased to 11,491. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 10,718 and 9,983 new case counts respectively. These moving averages must start falling to reverse the trend which looks a distant dream till the third week of July 2020. From the district level data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were almost unaffected but slowly, numbers of positive as well as active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission has become an unfortunate reality. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Whatever economic cost lockdown may have but locking down these hotspots strictly is the only way to stop the community transmission of the corona as well as to break the chain. From the data, it seems that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But at the same time it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will be reached and the growth in daily count will stagnate. From there a downward trend is expected. But the daily count of 15,000 will sustain for many weeks.
A few observations from 12th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 11,314 on 12th June 2020. The 3-days average has increased to 11,201. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 10,500 and 9,722 new case counts respectively. These moving averages must start falling to reverse the trend which looks a distant dream till the third week of July 2020. From the district level data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were almost unaffected but slowly, numbers of positive as well as active cases in these rural districts are falling sharply. In specific areas of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, community transmission has become an unfortunate reality. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Whatever economic cost lockdown may have but locking down these hotspots strictly is the only way to stop the community transmission of the corona as well as to break the chain. From the data, it seems that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But at the same time it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will be reached and the growth in daily count will stagnate. From there a downward trend is expected. But the daily count of 15,000 will sustain for many weeks.
A few observations from 11th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 11,128 on 11th June 2020. The 3-days average has increased to 10,785. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 10,223 and 9,495 new case counts respectively. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. From the district level data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were almost unaffected. The risk of community transmission in India is now an unfortunate reality, however is limited to some specific areas in urban centres. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Whatever economic cost lockdown may have but locking down these hotspots strictly is the only way to stop the community transmission of the corona as well as to break the chain. From the data, it seems that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But at the same time it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will be reached and the growth in daily count will stagnate. From there a downward trend is expected. But the daily count of 15,000 will sustain for many weeks.
कोरोना के इस बुरे समय में सबसे अच्छी बात ये है कि हर बीतते दिन के साथ रिकवरी रेट बेहतर होती जा रही है। आज पूरे देश में औसत रिकवरी रेट बढ़कर 49.1 प्रतिशत हो गई है और ठीक हुए मरीजों की संख्या एक्टिव मरीजों की तुलना में अधिक हो गया है। हालाँकि अलग-अलग राज्यों में अलग-अलग रिकवरी रेट है। कुछ राज्यों में रिकवरी रेट 50 प्रतिशत से अधिक है तो कुछ राज्यों में रिकवरी रेट 50% से कम है।
A few observations from 10th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 11,156 on 10th June 2020. Daily count has increased by 11% in comparison to the previous period. This high growth is not good at all. The 3-days average has increased to 9,890. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 10,040 and 9,216 new case counts respectively. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. From the district level data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were almost unaffected. The risk of community transmission in India is now an unfortunate reality, however is limited to some specific areas in urban centres. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Whatever economic cost lockdown may have but locking down these hotspots strictly is the only way to stop the community transmission of the corona as well as to break the chain. From the data, it seems that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But at the same time it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will be reached and the growth in daily count will stagnate. From there a downward trend is expected. But the daily count of 15,000 will sustain for many weeks.
ये ग्राफ बलिया का करोना कर्व है। बलिया उत्तर प्रदेश का एक ग्रामीण जिला है। बलिया 10 मई तक कोरोना से अप्रभावित ही रहा था परन्तु 11 मई को बलिया में कोरोना संक्रमण का पहला मामला मिला था और ये व्यक्ति रेड जोन से यात्रा कर लौटा था। सूचना है कि इसके यात्रा करने वाले कई अन्य साथियों को भी बाद में कोरोना पॉजिटिव पाया गया था।
9 जून को बलिया में कुल 60 केस थे। कोरोना के पहले मामले के मिलने के 30 दिन बाद बलिया में 9 जून को कुल 37 मरीज ठीक हो चुके थे। बलिया जिले के मामलों में रिकवरी रेट 61.5 प्रतिशत है। सबसे अच्छी बात है कि यह रिकवरी 8-13 दिनों में हो रही है जबकि राष्ट्रीय स्तर पर रिकवरी की अवधि 14-18 दिन है। सूचना है कि कोरोना से संक्रमित अधिकतर मरीज रेड जोन्स के लौटे प्रवासी हैं और बहुत ही कम मरीज ऐसे हैं जिन्होंने बाहरी राज्यों या जिलों की यात्रा नहीं की है। हालाँकि यात्रा विवरण का ये आंकड़ा सरकार द्वार सत्यापित नहीं है।
A few observations from 9th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by 10,218 on 9th June 2020. Daily count has increased by 21% in comparison to the previous period. However, the 3-days average has decreased to 9,848. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 9,851 and 8,952 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. From the district level data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were unaffected. The risk of community transmission in India is now an unfortunate reality, however is limited to specific areas. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Whatever economic cost lockdown may have but locking down these hotspots strictly is the only way to stop the community transmission of the corona. From data, it seems that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But at the same time it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will reach and from there a downward trend is expected. But the daily count of 15,000 will sustain for long.
A few observations from 8th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 8,444 on 8th June 2020. Daily count has decreased by around 20%. The 3-days average has also decreased to 9,942 from above 10,000 mark. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 9,651 and 8,641 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. From the district level data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were unaffected. The risk of community transmission in India is now an unfortunate reality, however is limited to specific areas. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Whatever economic cost lockdown may have but locking down these hotspots strictly is the only way to stop the community transmission of the corona. From data, it seems that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But at the same time it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will reach and from there a downward trend is expected. But the daily count of 15,000 will sustain for long.
A few observations from 7th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 10,884 on 7th June 2020. This is the highest daily count. The 3-days average has increased to 10,255. With every passing week, numbers of daily cases are increasing. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 9,548 and 8,497 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. From the district data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were unaffected. The risk of community transmission in India seems to be an unfortunate reality today, however is limited to specific areas. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots. Also it is quite possible that the daily case counts would increase to 15,000 in the next two weeks. But it is also expected once daily count increases to 15,000 mark, the peak of the corona curve will reach and from there a downward trend is expected.
A few observations from 6th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by 10,521 on 6th June 2020. For the first time the daily new cases crossed 10,000 mark in India. The 3-days average has increased to 9,916. With every passing week, numbers of daily cases are increasing. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 9,252 and 8,229 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. From the district data, it is evident that coronavirus has reached the rural districts which were unaffected. The risk of community transmission in India seems to be an unfortunate reality today, however is limited to specific areas. States can control the spread with strict policies in these hotspots.
A few observations from 5th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 9,462 on 4th June 2020. For the last three days, numbers of daily cases increased by more than 9000 with an average of 9,666. With every passing week, numbers of daily cases are increasing. This clearly indicates that the risk of community transmission looms large in India. From the data, it seems that in many states, community spread is now an unfortunate reality, however limited to certain areas. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 8,956 and 7,959 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. Daily case counts are expected to hit 10,000 mark within a few days considering the increasing number of districts infected by the coronavirus.
A few observations from 4th June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-
1. COVID19 new case count increased by 9,838 on 4th June 2020. This is the highest ever increase in the daily count. The risk of community transmission looms large in India. From the data, it seems in many states, community spread is now an unfortunate reality. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 8,765 and 7,749 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. Daily case counts are expected to hit 10,000 mark within 7 days considering the increasing number of districts infected by the coronavirus.
A few observations from 3rd June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 9,638 on 3rd June 2020. This is the highest ever increase in daily count. The risk of community transmission looms large in India. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 8,385 and 7,473 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. Daily case counts are expected to hit 10,000 mark within 7 days considering the increasing number of districts infected by the coronavirus.
A few observations from 2nd June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:- 1. COVID19 new case count increased by 8,820 on 2nd June 2020. This is the highest ever increase in daily count. The risk of community transmission looms large in India. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 8,054 and 7,194 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. Daily case counts are expected to hit 10,000 mark within 7 days considering the increasing number of districts infected by the coronavirus.
A few observations from 1st June 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 7,722 on 1st June 2020. After one week, the daily counts of coronavirus cases have gone down. If it continues, it would be the biggest relief. However, the risk of community transmission still looms large in India. Although, the 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 7,632 and 7,003 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. Daily case counts are expected to hit 10,000 mark within 7 days considering the increasing number of districts infected by the coronavirus.
A few observations from 31th May 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-1. COVID19 new case count increased by 8,763 on 31th May 2020. This is the highest daily increase. Everyday India is getting a new daily highest count. This indicates that India may end up having community transmission. The 7 days and 14 days averages increased to 7,441 and 6,783 new case counts. The 7 days and 14 days averages of new cases are increasing everyday. Daily case counts are expected to hit 10,000 mark within 7 days considering the increasing number of districts infected by the coronavirus.