A few observations from 15th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. New cases are increasing everyday. In the last one week numbers of new cases increased by more than 3700 new cases everyday. Even 14 days and 21 days daily average are respectively around 3500 and 3000 new cases everyday. It is quite possible that average daily growth in confirmed cases would soon increase to 4000 new cases.
A few observations from 14th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. New cases are increasing everyday. In the last two days numbers of new cases were higher than that of the 7 days average of 3500 new cases. This is not good if this trend continues in future. It will make this battle against coronavirus a very long drawn exercise.
The economic relief package of ₹20 Lakh crores includes the money to be spent through fiscal as well as monetary policy responses. However, the actual money that the government would directly be spending to boost economic activities would be around ₹6 Lakh crores; far less than the announced ₹20 Lakh crores. It does not mean that the amount of ₹20 Lakh crores is a token amount. The government through these measures wants to actually increase liquidity by ₹20 Lakh crores in the economy over time. Monetary policy response route is being taken because the government needs to manage fiscal deficit so that there are no significant negative consequences on the front of exchange rate and inflation.
A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. New cases are increasing everyday. However the daily growth rate has fallen down to 3.5%. The daily growth rate is going down but on an average everyday more than 3500 new cases are increasing. This clearly indicates the long drawn battle against coronavirus.
A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. New cases are increasing everyday and the daily growth rate is more than 5% for a long time. It indicates that it will take longer than expected before India is able to contain the spread of coronavirus. Simply it's a long battle altogether and this episode is not going to end so early.
A few observations from the week ending on10th May 2020 (National Data) on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. The proportion of active cases has been continuously falling over the weeks from 98% on week ending on 14th March to 65% on 10th May while proportion of recovered cases has been continuously increasing.
It is really very sad and unfortunate to find out that a democratically elected government fails to even maintain the integrity of data, however it is not something new. Previously many governments (states and centre) have intentionally been involved in such practices. Similarly Delhi government seems to be intentionally under reporting the daily data relating to Covid19 confirmed cases as well death toll with the sole purpose of avoiding any negative news headline!
On 8th May 2020 total confirmed cases in Delhi was 562 but the Delhi government published this data in two phases in two days. On 8th May 2020, the government released data that claimed that the total numbers of new confirmed cases in Delhi were 338. It was really good and relaxing to see a decline in daily confirmed cases. But on 9th May evening the Delhi government released a set of data that claimed 224 confirmed cases.
A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. Total confirmed cases grew at 6.63% with a doubling period of 10.79 days on 8th May that is slightly higher than that of the previous day numbers. Any sign of growth rate in confirmed cases slowing down looks a distant feasibility. If the lockdown was lifted after 14 days on 8th April, the number of total confirmed cases would have been increased to 1,50157 if the doubling period was 7 days.
A few observations from 7th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. Growth in the confirmed cases was 6.6% on 7th May. Almost the same growth was witnessed on 6th May. Not only on 6th May, but since 1st May total confirmed cases are increasing at almost the same growth rate. There is no sign of moderation. Rather, it is increasing however in very small numbers. Confirmed cases are doubling in 10.8 days. If the lockdown was lifted after 14 days on 8th April, the number of total confirmed cases would have been increased to 1,24,506 if the doubling period was 7 days.
A few observations from 6th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
1. Growth in the confirmed cases was 6.5% on 6th May. Almost the same growth was witnessed on 5th May. Doubling period was 10.8 days. Even if the lockdown has lifted after 14 days, cases would have increased to 1,03,236 if the doubling period was 7 days.
A few observations from 15th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
A few observations from 14th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
The economic relief package of ₹20 Lakh crores includes the money to be spent through fiscal as well as monetary policy responses. However, the actual money that the government would directly be spending to boost economic activities would be around ₹6 Lakh crores; far less than the announced ₹20 Lakh crores. It does not mean that the amount of ₹20 Lakh crores is a token amount. The government through these measures wants to actually increase liquidity by ₹20 Lakh crores in the economy over time. Monetary policy response route is being taken because the government needs to manage fiscal deficit so that there are no significant negative consequences on the front of exchange rate and inflation.
A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
A few observations from the week ending on10th May 2020 (National Data) on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
A few observations from 8th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
A few observations from 7th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
A few observations from 6th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-
