India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 24th May 2020 Data

From the national data on the coronavirus pandemic, it can be said that even after a lockdown of more than 2 months, the upward trend is getting stronger day by day. Daily count as well as growth rates both are increasing even after a bigger base. This situation is not good at all and slowly India is moving in the direction of western countries. Four cities, Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai and Ahmedabad are the biggest hotspots in the country contributing 47% of national covid19 cases. It makes this fight against COVID19 a long drawn battle. However, there is only one good news that the mortality rate is falling with every passing day and is expected to remain below 2%. Because of the possibility of a low mortality rate states like are favouring herd immunity than the continued lockdown. The fall in recovery rate is natural.

India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 23rd May 2020 Data

From the National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic, it is clear now that the upward trend is getting stronger with every passing day. Growth rate is increasing even after the increase in base. This is not good at all and will make this fight against COVID-19 a long drawn battle. However, mortality rate is falling and recovery rate is improving which is natural. A few observations from 23rd May 2020 National Data:-

 
1. New case count increased by 6663 on 23rd May 2020 with increased 7 days and 14 days averages of 5825 and 4897 new case counts. 5 days average is 6220. Daily counts as well as averages of new cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate. 2 weeks average will soon cross 5000 count every day.

India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 22nd May 2020 Data

A few observations from 22nd May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-

1. New case count increased by 6570 on 22nd May 2020 with increased 7 days and 14 days averages of 5563 and 4650 new case counts. 4 days average is 6117. Daily counts as well as averages of new cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate. 2 weeks average is moving to 5000 count every day.

Repo Rate Cut Will Help to Increase Demand

RBI has cut the repo rate by 40 basis points to bring it to 4%. It is a good and positive monetary response from the central bank to boost the demand in the economy. Coupled with a moratorium, the rate cut will result in more money in the hands of consumers to spend. Although, for the banking sector, it is not that good news and will have to face the brunt of this decision. The increasing moratorium period will not only have a negative impact on banks’ earnings in the short run but also on the NPAs as well in the long run. Apart from this the government has to get ready to recapitalize the banks in the next two years. At present the government needs to bring the lost confidence back to the people so that they start spending rather than saving for the unseen future.

India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 21st May 2020 Data

A few observations from 21st May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-

1. New case count increased by 6026 on 21st May 2020 with increased 7 days and 14 days averages of 5168 and 4420 new case counts. Daily counts as well as averages of new cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate. 2 weeks average is moving to 5000 count every day.

India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 20th May 2020 Data

A few observations from 20th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-

1. New case count increased by 5547 on 20th May 2020 with increased 7 days and 14 days averages of 4853 and 4216 new case counts. Daily counts as well as averages of new cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate.

2. Daily growth rate of the active cases and the 7 days growth rates were 3.8% and 3.7% respectively on 20th May 2020. There is an upward trend in 7 days average and is not a good sign as the base is getting bigger.

कोरोना संक्रमण के माइल्ड केसों में डिस्चार्ज नीति में बदलाव

सरकार द्वारा कोरोना मरीज़ों के डिस्चार्ज की पॉलिसी में जिस तरह के बदलाव की बात हो रही है उसे लेकर सरकार को सचेत रहने की आवश्यकता है। कम से कम हड़बड़ी में ऐसा कोई भी निर्णय नहीं लेना चाहिए जो पुरानी गलतियों को दुहरा रही हों! लॉकडॉउन कारण अर्थव्यवस्था को बहुत बड़ी मार पड़ी है परन्तु हड़बड़ी में लॉकडॉउन में छूट देकर सरकारों ने देश को कोरोना के खिलाफ मिली बढ़त को खो देने जैसी गलती की जिसे फिर से दुहराया नहीं जा सकता। जबकि मजबूती और बिना किसी समझौते के (चाहें लोगों और अर्थव्यवस्था को थोड़ी दिक्क्त होती जो अब भी हो रही है) देश में लॉकडॉउन लागू हुआ होता तो आज की तुलना में हालत बहुत ही बेहतर होते। इस तरह हड़बड़ी में आकर देश ने खुद को मजबूत करने एवं दुनिया को बेहतर रास्ता देने का एक बहुत बेहतर मौका खो दिया है!

India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 19th May 2020 Data

It seems that downward trend is reversing. A few observations from 19th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-

1. New case count increased by 6150 on 19th May 2020 with increased 7 days and 14 days averages of 4593 and 4077 new case counts. New cases count for the first time crossed the mark of 6,000. Daily counts as well as averages of new cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate.

2. Daily growth rate of the active cases and the 7 days growth rates increased to 5.1% and 3.6% respectively on 19th May 2020 than the previous period and this upward trend in these rates are not a good sign as the base is getting bigger.

दिलों पर बोझ लिए घर को जाता मजदूर

कोरोना वायरस के फैलने के कारण आज पूरे देश में प्रवासी मजदूर परेशान हैं। ये वही प्रवासी मजदूर हैं जो कभी अपना और अपने परिवार का पेट भरने के लिए अपने घर परिवार और गाँव को पीछे छोड़कर एक उम्मीद के साथ शहरों में आए थे और इन शहरों मे आकर शहरी समाज व भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था की रीढ़ बनकर उसे ना सिर्फ मजबूती से थाम रखा था बल्कि उसे गति भी दे रहे थे। पर आज वे मजबूर हैं! इतने मजबूर कि वे कहीं खाने पीने के सामानों के लिए एक दूसरे से ही संघर्ष कर रहे हैं तो कहीं लाखों की संख्या में अपने खाने की थाली लेकर पूरे देश में लाइनों में खड़े हैं! केन्द्र सरकार के पास आज बेहिसाब आनाज है और राज्य सरकारें दावा भी कर रही हैं परन्तु सरकारें ना तो इन लोगों को खाने-पीने का सामान उपलब्ध करा पा रही हैं और ना ही खाना दे पा रही हैं।

India Fight Against Coronavirus: Observation from 18th May 2020 Data

A few observations from 18th May 2020 National Data on the Coronavirus pandemic:-

1. New cases increased by 4660 on 18th May 2020 with increased 7 days and 14 days averages at 4222 and 3850 new cases. Daily averages of new cases are increasing everyday at an increasing rate.

2. Daily growth rate of the active cases and the 7 days growth rates were 3.7% and 3.4% respectively on 18th May 2020. These average growth rates are falling but even this rate of growth in daily cases is very high considering the increasing base.