COVID19 India: Observation from 30th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 30th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 79,457 to the total of 36,19,169 on 30th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate increasing to 2.21% and the doubling period falling to 31.68 days. Growth has increased for the first time after 40 days. The increase in daily count is unable to offset base effect. This is not a good sign at all. The moving averages indicate a clear upward trend in the daily count. From the data, it seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak and 80,000 daily count may soon become a new normal to hit 85,000 daily in one or two weeks.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases increased to 1.37% with a decreased doubling period of 51 days with the active case count of 7,78,624 on 30th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing and more than one lac new active cases have increased in just eleven days. The growth rate of active cases has almost two and half times resulting in bringing down the doubling period. This is due to lower numbers of recoveries in comparison to daily case count. After two weeks, growth rate in the active cases would start falling with improving daily recovery rate.

COVID19 India: Observation from 29th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 29th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 78,481 to the total of 35,39,712 on 29th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.18% and a doubling period of 32.12 days. Growth rates are continuously falling but due to increasing base. So this decrease in growth rate indicates nothing. The moving averages indicate an upward trend in the daily count. From the data, it seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 1.11% with a doubling period of 62.7 days with the active case count of 7,63,535 on 29th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing and the growth rate of active cases has almost doubled resulting in bringing down the doubling period. This is due to lower numbers of recoveries in comparison to daily case count. After two weeks, growth rate in the active cases would start falling with improving daily recovery rate.

COVID19 India: Observation from 28th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 28th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 76,656 to the total of 34,61,321 on 28th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.19% and a doubling period of 31.94 days. Growth rates are continuously falling but the moving averages indicate an upward trend in the daily count. From the data, it seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 1.08% with a doubling period of 64.6 days with the active case count of 7,50,979 on 28th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing and the growth rate of active cases has almost doubled. This is due to lower numbers of recoveries in comparison to daily case count. After two weeks, growth rate in the active cases would start falling with improving daily recovery rate.

COVID19 India: Observation from 27th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 27th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 76,826 to the total of 33,84,575 on 27th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.21% and a doubling period of 31.7 days. The moving averages indicate an upward trend in the daily count. From the data, it seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.97% with a doubling period of 71.7 days with the active case count of 7,39,818 on 27th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing and the growth rate of active cases has almost doubled. This is due to lower numbers of recoveries in comparison to daily case count. After two weeks, growth rate in the active cases would start falling with improving daily recovery rate.

COVID19 India: Observation from 26th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 26th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 75,995 to the total of 33,07,749 on 26th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.22% and a doubling period of 31.5 days. The moving averages indicate an upward trend. It seems that India is yet to hit the coronavirus peak.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.77% with a doubling period of 90.2 days with the active case count of 7,23,677 on 26th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 25th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 25th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 66,873 to the total of 32,31,754 on 25th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.24% and a doubling period of 31.2 days. The moving averages indicate an upward trend.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.58% with a doubling period of 119.8 days with the active case count of 7,04,890 on 25th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 24th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 24th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 59,696 to the total of 31,64,881 on 24th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.28% and a doubling period of 30.65 days. It is second in row when daily count has fallen since very long. Hope this turns into a trend. However, the moving averages indicate otherwise.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.62% with a doubling period of 112 days with the active case count of 7,03,234 on 24th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 23rd August 2020 Data

A few observations from 23rd August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 61,749 to the total of 31,05,185 on 23rd August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.3% and a doubling period of 30.4 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.67% with a doubling period of 103.6 days with the active case count of 7,10,697 on 23rd August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 22nd August 2020 Data

A few observations from 22nd August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 70,069 to the total of 30,43,436 on 22nd August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.33% and a doubling period of 30 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.58% with a doubling period of 119 days with the active case count of 7,06,690 on 22nd August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 21st August 2020 Data

A few observations from 21sr August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 69,039 to the total of 29,73,368 on 21st August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.36% and a doubling period of 29.9 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.59% with a doubling period of 117.9 days with the active case count of 6,96,641 on 21st August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 20th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 20th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 68,507 to the total of 29,04,329 on 20th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.4% and a doubling period of 29.2 days. Moving averages clearly indicate that India is still away from its peak and a downward trend is still elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.64% with a doubling period of 107.3 days with the active case count of 6,91,413 on 20th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 19th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 19th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 69,196 to the total of 28,35,822 on 19th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.44% and a doubling period of 28.75 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.71% with a doubling period of 97.5 days with the active case count of 6,85,760 on 19th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 18th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 18th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 65,024 to the total of 27,66,626 on 18th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.49% and a doubling period of 28.1 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.7% with a doubling period of 97.7 days with the active case count of 6,76,908 on 18th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 17th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 17th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 54,300 to the total of 27,01,604 on 17th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.53% and a doubling period of 27.7 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.72% with a doubling period of 95.8 days with the active case count of 6,73,431 on 17th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 16th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 16th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 58,082 to the total of 26,47,304 on 16th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.58% and a doubling period of 27.15 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 0.93% with a doubling period of 74.5 days with the active case count of 6,78,183 on 16th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

COVID19 India: Observation from 15th August 2020 Data

A few observations from 15th August 2020 (National Data) on coronavirus pandemic:-

1. COVID19 new case count increased by 63,986 to the total of 25,89,22 on 15th August 2020 with 7-days growth rate of 2.65% and a doubling period of 26.2 days. It seems that India is still away from its peak and a conclusive trend reversal is elusive.

2. The 7-days growth rate of the active cases was 1.09% with a doubling period of 63.8 days with the active case count of 6,78,461 on 15th August 2020. Active cases are continuously increasing.

विनिर्माण के लिए जरूरी हैं ढ़ांचागत सुविधाएँ

भारत समेत विश्व की अर्थव्यवस्था अभूतपूर्व संकट के दौर से गुजर रही है। भविष्य भी अनिश्चितताओं से भरा है। भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था आजादी के बाद अपने सबसे बूरे दौर से गुजर रही है। इस हालात से निपटने की कोशिशें जारी हैं। देश में विनिर्माण की गतिविधियों को बढ़ावा देने के लिए आत्मनिर्भर भारत योजना शुरू की गई है। हालांकि बैंक लोन पर रिजर्व बैंक द्वारा दिए गए मोराटोरियम के कारण भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था को विकराल एनपीए की समस्या एवं लम्बे अवधि तक बेरोजगारी का सामना करना पड़ेगा।

आत्मनिर्भर भारत एवं भारत में उत्पादन

कोरोना वायरस जनित महामारी के कारण भारत सहित दुनिया की सभी अर्थव्यवस्थाओं की आर्थिक गतिविधियों में अभूतपूर्व गिरावट दर्ज की गई है। दुनिया में महामारी को शुरू हुए छः महीने से अधिक समय गुजर चुका है परन्तु दुनिया का आर्थिक भविष्य अभी भी अनिश्चितताओं से भरा है। हालांकि दुनिया की अधिकतर अर्थव्यवस्थाओं में आर्थिक गतिविधियाँ धीरे-धीरे बढ़ रही हैं लेकिन ये कह पाना बहुत मुश्किल है कि आर्थिक गतिविधियाँ पटरी पर कब तक वापस लौट पाएँगी?